The European Model insists on the formation of a “suspicious” deep forming barometric low in the central Mediterranean by the end of next week.
However, whether this will develop into a Mediterranean cyclone or not is still too early to show with today’s data!!!
What is sure is that we will be watching it closely!
As for the floods in central Italy one could not say that they were not expected given the weather conditions that prevailed all summer in the western and central Mediterranean! You can read my post from August 1 on the subject here: